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IBM predicts the demise of spam by 2016


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 PostPosted: Wed Jan 11, 2012 2:42 am   
You are kiillllling-a my bizinisss!
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Always recommended reading - Terry Zink comments on IBM's predictions for 2016
http://www.circleid.com/posts/20120107_ ... s_no_spam/
IBM believes that spam will be filtered out, and relevant mail about our areas of interest will be filtered in.

IBM's 5 predictions are in the text of his article, and in a video link


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 PostPosted: Wed Jan 11, 2012 10:17 am   
You are kiillllling-a my bizinisss!
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I haven't looked at the video he mentions, but the other predictions are pretty shaky. By 2016, four years from now? Get rid of the digital divide? Sounds like a "Have" that has no idea how much "Have-Nots" haven't got. Internet service is pretty far up on Maslow's hierarchy.

And having biometrics replace passwords? Sounds like someone who hasn't tried to solve the problem of ZeuS trojan. Any biometric has to be converted to digital form to be transmitted, and it has to be saved for anyone to use it for verification. Once your digital file is in someone else's hands, it becomes a password that can't be changed, since it's keyed to your biometrics.


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 PostPosted: Wed Jan 11, 2012 10:07 pm   
Spammer Killing Machine
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It would be lovely to think that spam will disappear by 2016 and that IBM will not.

(Seriously, IBM really looks like it's doing well.)


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 PostPosted: Fri Jan 20, 2012 6:58 am   
Spam Investigator
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NotBuyingIt wrote:
It would be lovely to think that spam will disappear by 2016 and that IBM will not.

(Seriously, IBM really looks like it's doing well.)


Maybe they should stop predicting. :(

Hans


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 PostPosted: Fri Jan 20, 2012 3:14 pm   
You are kiillllling-a my bizinisss!
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Mind you, if the drop from August 2010 to August 2011 could be repeated each year, we could see how such a prediction is reasonable
http://www.senderbase.org/home/detail_spam_volume?displayed=last18months



Looking at the 18 months period starting from the year preceding that graph, you can see just how far we have come


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 PostPosted: Sun Dec 30, 2012 3:26 pm   
You are kiillllling-a my bizinisss!
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Over the past 18 months the Ironport Senderbase statistics show a continuing downward trend compared with previous years (see above)

Image


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 PostPosted: Tue May 07, 2013 9:45 pm   
You are kiillllling-a my bizinisss!
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Reference: http://cbl.abuseat.org/images/totalflow-threeyears.png

Over the past 3 years there has been a significant decrease in spam, as shown at abuseat.org
It is currently at 1/8th of the peak it was at back then



Uploaded with ImageShack.us


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 PostPosted: Tue May 07, 2013 9:54 pm   
You are kiillllling-a my bizinisss!
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Ironport's Senderbase has changed the appearance of its chart. However here is the global spam volume report for the past 18 months

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Reference: http://www.senderbase.org/static/spam#tab=1


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